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[ NNSquad ] Isenberg: "Broadband" - Internet = Not Diddly Squat


> http://isen.com/blog/2009/04/broadband-without-internet-ain-worth.html


"The Internet derives its disruptive quality from a very special
property: IT IS PUBLIC. The core of the Internet is a body of simple,
public agreements, called RFCs, that specify the structure of the
Internet Protocol packet. These public agreements don't need to be
ratified or officially approved - they just need to be widely adopted
and used.

"The Internet's component technologies - routing, storage,
transmission, etc. - can be improved in private. But the Internet
Protocol itself is hurt by private changes, because its very strength
is its public-ness."

---

> http://isen.com/blog/2009/04/broadband-without-internet-ain-worth.html


Thursday, April 30, 2009
 
Broadband without Internet ain't worth squat


by David S. Isenberg


Keynote address delivered at Broadband Properties Summit
(http://www.bbpmag.com/2009s/9fullagenda.php#gs71)

4/28/09


We communications professionals risk forgetting why the networks we
build and run are valuable. We forget what we're connecting to what.
We get so close to the ducts and splices and boxes and protocols that
we lose the big picture.

Somewhere in the back of our mind, we know that we're building
something big and new and fundamental. We know, at some level, there's
more than business and economics at stake.

This talk is a 30,000-foot view of why our work is important. I'm
going to argue that the Internet is the main value creator here - not
our ability to digitize everything, not high speed networking, not
massive storage - the Internet. With this perspective, maybe you'll
you go back to work with a slight attitude adjustment, and maybe one
or two concrete things to do.

In the big picture, We're building interconnectedness. We're
connecting every person on this planet with every other person. We're
creating new ways to share experience. We're building new ways for
buyers to find sellers, for manufacturers to find raw materials, for
innovators to rub up against new ideas. We're creating a new means to
distribute our small planet's limited resources.

Let's take a step back from the ducts and splices and boxes and
protocols. Let's go on an armchair voyage in the opposite direction --
to a strange land . . . to right here, right now, but without the
Internet.

In this world we have all the technology of today, but no Internet
Protocol, that is, there's no packet protocol that all proprietary
networks can understand.

In this alternate reality, every form of information can be digitized,
BUT there's not necessarily a connection between all this information
and all the users and services that might discover it and use it to
their advantage.

This was the world envisioned by the movie, The President's Analyst,
where The Phone Company secretly ran the world. It's from 1967, the
same year that Larry Roberts published the original ArpaNet spec.


Roll Clip (http://www.youtube.com/v/uUa3np4CKC4)

In a world without the Internet, it's not clear that we'd actually
have a thought transducer in our brain. But if we did, I'd bet we
couldn't program it ourselves. I'd bet we couldn't shut it off. I'd
bet we couldn't decide who could receive its signal and who could not.

What WOULD we have?

We would have super-clear telephony. We'd have cable TV with lots and
lots of channels. We'd have lower op-ex and higher def. We'd probably
have some kind of telephone-to-TV integration so we could order from
Dominos while we watched Gunsmoke. Our cell phones would make really,
really good phone calls . . . and we'd have another half-dozen bungled
attempts to convince us that picturephones were the next great leap
forward.

Surprisingly, we might not have email. The first generation of
Internet Researchers only discovered human-to-human email in 1972 -
the subsequent growth of "People-to-People" applications was a big
surprise to them. Now, without email, there there'd be no reason to
invent the Blackberry or the iPhone. Without the Internet, it would be
a voice, voice, voice, voice world.

This voice, voice, voice would be expensive. Without the Internet -
specifically without Voice over IP -- we'd still be paying fifteen
cents a minute for long distance, because VocalTec would not have
commercialized VOIP, Vonage and Skype wouldn't exist, and even the
major telcos would not have used VOIP to destroy the international
settlement system.

Data service? Think ISDN. Actually, think about a dozen different
so-called Integrated Services Networks, each with its own access and
login, with no good way for one to connect to another. Metcalfe's Law
would suggest there'd be orders of magnitude less traffic overall.

Would we have Search? Perhaps. Imagine what Encyclopedia Britannica On
Line would look like in a non-Wikipedia world . . . at a buck a
lookup.

Digital photography? Perhaps . . . but medium would be paper and the
biggest company would be Kodak.

What about Amazon? EBay? YouTube? Weather.com? Google Maps?
Travelocity? Yahoo Finance? iTunes? Twitter? Facebook? CraigsList?
Blogging? On-Line Banking?

We wouldn't even have Web sites. Sure we could probably buy some kind
of proprietary on-line presence, but it would be so expensive that
only GE, GM and GQ could afford it, and so inaccessible they probably
wouldn't want to pay.

Web 2.0 - the ability of a single computer to reach across the
Internet in a dozen different directions at once to build an
customized web page on the fly - would be worse than unavailable, it
would be unthinkable.

But it's not all bad. Without the Internet, we would still get our
news from newspapers, the corner bookstore would still be down on the
corner, the Post Office would be thriving, your friendly travel agent
would still be booking your trips, Dan Rather would still be on TV,
perverts would still get their sick pix in inconvenient plain brown
wrappers, and the NSA would not know the books I bought at Amazon or
who I email with.

Tough. We lost a lot of skilled leather-smiths when they invented the
horseless carriage. We'll find ways to deal with the Internet's
changes too.

Without the Internet, the minor improvements in telephony and TV
certainly would not drive the buildout of a whole new infrastructure.
The best way to do telephony would still be twisted pair. The best way
to do Cable TV would be coax.

Now I'm a huge Fiber to the Home enthusiast! But I'm also part of the
Reality Based Community. So let's face it, even WITH the Internet,
including Verizon's amazingly ambitious FIOS buildout, the business
case for fiber is so weak that 97 percent of US homes still aren't on
fiber. We are still in "Law of Small Numbers" territory. The Internet
is the only thing standing between our limited success and abject
failure.

Notice, I have not yet, until now, used the word BROADBAND.

But before I talk about broadband, I want to talk about Synechdoche.
Synecdoche is when you say, "The Clock" but you mean Time. Synecdoche
is when you say, "Eyeballs," but you mean The Customer's Attention.
Synecdoche is when you say, Dallas, but you mean, "The Mavericks."

Most of the time Broadband is synecdoche. When we say, "Broadband,"
most of the time we mean, "High Speed Connections to the Internet."

I repeat, Most of the time when we say Broadband we mean High Speed
Connections to the Internet. Broadband is synecdoche.

Without the Internet, "Broadband" is just another incremental
improvement. It makes telephony and TV better. It makes the Internet
better too. But the key driver of all the killer apps we know and love
is the Internet, not Broadband. And, of course, the Internet is
enabled by lots of technologies - computers, storage, software, audio
compression, video display technology, AND high-speed wired and
wireless networking.

Now, Broadband is a very important enabler. The United States has
slower, more expensive connections to the Internet than much of the
developed world. And that's embarrassing to me as a US citizen.

Imagine if a quirk of US policy caused us to have dimmer displays.
That would be a quick fix, unless the display terminal industry
demanded that we disable the Internet in other ways before it gave us
brighter displays. Or insisted "all your screens are belong to us."

High-speed transmission does not, by itself, turn the wheel of
creative destruction so central to the capitalist process. The
Internet does that. Broadband, by itself, does not fuel the rise of
new companies and the destruction of old ones. The Internet does that.
Broadband by itself is not disruptive; the Internet is.

The Internet derives its disruptive quality from a very special
property: IT IS PUBLIC. The core of the Internet is a body of simple,
public agreements, called RFCs, that specify the structure of the
Internet Protocol packet. These public agreements don't need to be
ratified or officially approved - they just need to be widely adopted
and used.

The Internet's component technologies - routing, storage,
transmission, etc. - can be improved in private. But the Internet
Protocol itself is hurt by private changes, because its very strength
is its public-ness.

Because it is public, device makers, application makers, content
providers and network providers can make stuff that works together.
The result is completely unprecedented; instead of a special-purpose
network - with telephone wires on telephone poles that connect
telephones to telephone switches, or a cable network that connects TVs
to content - we have the Internet, a network that connects any
application - love letters, music lessons, credit card payments,
doctor's appointments, fantasy games - to any network - wired,
wireless, twisted pair, coax, fiber, wi-fi, 3G, smoke signals, carrier
pigeon, you name it. Automatically, no extra services needed. It just
works.

This allows several emergent miracles.

First, the Internet grows naturally at its edges, without a master
plan. Anybody can connect their own network, as long as the connection
follows the public spec. Anybody with their own network can improve it
-- in private if they wish, as long as they follow the public
agreement that is the Internet, the result grows the Internet.

Another miracle: The Internet let's us innovate without asking
anybody's permission. Got an idea? Put it on the Internet, send it to
your friends. Maybe they'll send it to their friends.

Another miracle: It's a market-discovery machine. Text messaging
wasn't new in 1972. What surprised the Internet Researchers was
email's popularity. Today a band that plays Parisian cafe music can
discover its audience in Japan and Louisiana and Rio.

It's worth summarizing. The miracles of the Internet - any-app over
any infrastructure, growth without central planning, innovation
without permission, and market discovery. If the Internet Protocol
lost its public nature, we'd risk shutting these miracles off.

One of the public agreements about the Internet Protocol lays out a
process for changing the agreements. If somebody changes their part of
the Internet in private, they put the Internet's miracles at risk.
Comcast tried to do that by blocking BitTorrent. Fortunately, we
persuaded Comcast to stop. If it had continued, it would have put a
whole family of Internet applications at risk, not only for Comcast
Internet customers, but also for everybody who interacts with
Comcast's customers.

The whole fight over Network Neutrality is about preserving what's
valuable about the Internet - its public-ness.

The Internet threatens the telephone business and the cable TV
business. So of course there's a huge propaganda battle around the
Internet.

The propaganda says Network Neutrality is about treating every packet
exactly the same, but the Internet has never done that. The propaganda
says that Network Neutrality is about regulating the Internet, but we
know that the Internet exists thanks to the government's ArpaNet, and
subsequent wise government regulation.

Look who's calling for regulation anyway! The only reason telcos and
cablecos exist is that there's a whole body of franchises and tariffs
and licenses and FCCs and PUCs keeping them in business.

Cut through the propaganda. Network Neutrality is about preserving the
public definition of the Internet Protocol, the structure of the
Internet packet, and the way it is processed. If there are reasons to
change the Internet Protocol, we can do it in public - that's part of
the Internet too.

It's the Internet, smart people. Your property already has telephone
and TV. So does everybody else's. Broadband without the Internet isn't
worth squat. You're building those fast connections to The Internet.

So please remember that the essence of the Internet is a body of
public agreements. Anti-Network Neutrality attacks on the public
nature of the Internet are attacks on the value of the infrastructure
improvements you've made to your property. So you can't be neutral on
Network Neutrality. Take a stand.

If you install advanced technology that makes your property more
valuable, you deserve your just rewards. But the potential of the
Internet is much, much bigger than your property.

Like other great Americans on whose shoulders I stand, I have a dream.
In my dream the Internet becomes so capable that I am able to be with
you as intimately as I am right now without leaving my home in
Connecticut.

In my dream the Internet becomes so good that we think of the people
in Accra or Baghdad or Caracas much as we think of the people of
Albuquerque, Boston and Chicago, as "us" not "them.".

In my dream, the climate change problem will be solved thanks to
trillions of smart vehicles, heaters and air conditioners connected to
the Internet to mediate real-time auctions for energy, carbon credits,
and transportation facilities.

In my dream, we discover that one of the two billion who live on less
than dollar a day is so smart as to be another Einstein, that another
is so compassionate as to be another Gandhi, that another is so
charismatic as to be another Mandella . . . and we will can comment on
their blog, subscribe to their flickr stream and follow their twitter
tweets.

But I also have a nightmare . . .

In my nightmare, the telephone company has convinced us that it needs
to monitor every Internet transaction, so it can -- quote-unquote --
manage -- what it calls "my pipes".

Maybe it says it needs to stop terrorism, or protect the children, or
pay copyright holders. Maybe there's a genuine emergency -- a pandemic
or a nuclear attack or a 9.0 earthquake.

In my nightmare, whatever the excuse -- or the precipitating
real-world event -- once the telephone company gains the ability to
know which apps are generating which packets, it begins charging more
for applications we value more.

In my nightmare, once the telephone company has some applications that
generate more revenues because they're subject to management -- and
others that don't -- the former get all the newest, shiniest, fastest
network upgrades, while the latter languish in what soon becomes
Yesterday's Network.

In my nightmare, new innovations that need the newest fastest network,
but don't yet have a revenue stream, are consigned to second-class
service. Or they're subject to lengthy engineering studies and other
barriers that keep them off the market. In other words, in my
nightmare, all but the most mundane innovation dies

So it's up to you. When you make high-speed networks part of your real
estate, if you insist that these connect to the REAL Internet, the
un-mediated, un-filtered publicly defined Internet, you're part of a
global miracle that's much bigger than your property. Please ask
yourself what's valuable in the long run, and act accordingly. 

Technorati Tags: Cableco, fiberoptics, NetworkNeutrality,
privatization, Telco

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